Weighted Scenario Price Calculator

Inputs

0%
Total probability must be 100%.
Processing…

Results

Weighted Average Price

$0.00

Upside / Downside

0.0%

Reference Used

Base Case

How it Works

This calculator helps you calculate the probability-weighted average price based on your scenarios.

  • Bear Case: The pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The most likely scenario.
  • Bull Case: The optimistic scenario.

The Weighted Price is the sum of each scenario's price multiplied by its probability.

If you provide a Current Market Price, the upside/downside is calculated relative to that. Otherwise, the Base Case price is used as the reference point to see how the weighted average differs from your base assumption.